Well Marked Low over Bay to turn into Cyclone

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Well Marked Low Pressure Area over Indonesia is now into open warm waters of South East Bay. As the system was over land it seems disorganized. It is gaining phase now, good convective activity seen in South East Bay below 10N to Equator. GFS models predicts the system to develop into a marginal cyclone and landfall near South Andhra Coast near Chennai with weakening during landfall(This is initial forecast and there is low confidence in this forecast).Let us wait and see how the system materializes and how does it move initially. Cyclone Maha, Weather forecast today HIGHLIGHTS: IMD issues red alert in Lakshadweep, heavy rainfall predicted in Kerala, Tamil NaduMost of the convection is seen to the west of the system.
Meanwhile very severe cyclonic storm ockhi starts is weakening trend as a western disturbance impacts it.It will weaken gradually and make landfall over Gujarat giving heavy rainfall there.

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